Uncategorized

Stay Aware: be cautious about weather advice – discern fact from fiction

It has been brought to the attention of the entire weather community.  Someone shared a picture from a CFS run. Showing an extremely large polar vortex sag over the whole United States of America. This would have led to everywhere North of Central Florida being below freezing.  This is the run. If you look at …

Stay Aware: be cautious about weather advice – discern fact from fiction Read More »

unlocking the mystery of forecasting snow: Why it is tricker than you think!!

Many people wonder why snow forecasts are often inaccurate. Personally, I prefer forecasting any other type of weather. Take, for example, the snow event that occurred over the Texas Panhandle on December 14th and 15th, 2023. In that instance, the predicted area didn’t experience snow; instead, it fell between Perryton and Spearman, Texas, with around …

unlocking the mystery of forecasting snow: Why it is tricker than you think!! Read More »

TOMORROW’S WEATHER: A GLIMPSE INTO NATURE’S PLANS FOR 10/4/2023

Forecast for Wednesday, 10/4/23, including parts of Texas and Oklahoma. Hazards are 60 to 70mph winds, 1 to 2-inch hail, and the possibility of a tornado or two.  The time frame is between 5 in the afternoon and midnight. CAPE ranges between 2700 and 3400 J/kg. Two modes are likely: linear and possible pre-frontal supercells. …

TOMORROW’S WEATHER: A GLIMPSE INTO NATURE’S PLANS FOR 10/4/2023 Read More »

TOMORROW’S WEATHER: A GLIMPSE INTO NATURE’S PLANS FOR 10/3/23

After a day of severe weather over New Mexico and the Texas panhandle today, Tuesday, 10/3/23, the same base area will be the outlined region for possible severe weather. Hazards include 60 to 70mph winds, 1 to 2-inch hail, and the possibility of tornadoes. The primary tornado chance appears to include eastern New Mexico between …

TOMORROW’S WEATHER: A GLIMPSE INTO NATURE’S PLANS FOR 10/3/23 Read More »

BRINGING TO SURFACE: WARNING PRECAUTIONS ARE AT TIMES NOT PROPERLY OR ACCURATELY BEING GIVEN

As a meteorologist, my mission is to provide accurate and timely weather forecasts, analyze meteorological data, and communicate weather-related information to the public to ensure public safety, save lives, property, and the environment. I have been seeing a few trends lately that I want to bring my followers attention to. From my viewpoint, reporting agencies …

BRINGING TO SURFACE: WARNING PRECAUTIONS ARE AT TIMES NOT PROPERLY OR ACCURATELY BEING GIVEN Read More »

INTO THE UNKNOWN: WHEN ALERTS GO SILENT 

On Sunday, September 28th, the National Weather Service failed to issue the correct warning, leading to unexpected consequences. A smaller tornado formed near Point and touched down in Emory, without proper prior notification from the National Weather Service.  While this tornado was not as destructive as larger ones, it still posed a significant risk to …

INTO THE UNKNOWN: WHEN ALERTS GO SILENT  Read More »